KEYS

KEYS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($313.27)
DCF$3072.10+880.7%
Graham Number$68.00-78.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$313.27-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.08B
Rev: 23.3% / EPS: 68.0%
Computed: 10.54%
Computed WACC: 10.54%
Cost of equity (Re)10.91%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.44%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.10%
Debt weight (D/V)4.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2289.51
Current Price$313.27
Upside / Downside+630.8%
Net Debt (used)$594.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term60.0%64.0%68.0%72.0%76.0%
7.0%$3885.57$4392.49$4951.10$5565.27$6239.05
8.0%$3009.30$3401.16$3832.94$4307.60$4828.28
9.0%$2413.01$2726.61$3072.10$3451.87$3868.41
10.0%$1983.96$2241.26$2524.69$2836.21$3177.85
11.0%$1662.51$1877.65$2114.61$2375.02$2660.58

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.69
Yahoo: $36.12

Results

Graham Number$68.00
Current Price$313.27
Margin of Safety-78.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.54%
Computed WACC: 10.54%
Cost of equity (Re)10.91%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.44%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.10%
Debt weight (D/V)4.90%

Results

Current Price$313.27
Implied Near-term FCF Growth28.1%
Historical Revenue Growth23.3%
Historical Earnings Growth68.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.08B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$313.27
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.28B
Current: 42.4×
Default: $594.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$313.27
Current Price$313.27
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$54.41B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.41B-$406.00M$594.00M$1.59B$2.59B
38.4x$295.04$289.22$283.40$277.57$271.75
40.4x$309.97$304.15$298.33$292.51$286.69
42.4x$324.91$319.09$313.27$307.45$301.63
44.4x$339.84$334.02$328.20$322.38$316.56
46.4x$354.78$348.96$343.14$337.32$331.50