KFS

KFS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.35)
DCF$24.25+96.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 21.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$13.06+5.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.46M
Rev: 31.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.75%
Computed WACC: 5.75%
Cost of equity (Re)5.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.40%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.93%
Debt weight (D/V)18.07%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$57.60
Current Price$12.35
Upside / Downside+366.4%
Net Debt (used)$68.45M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term23.9%27.9%31.9%35.9%39.9%
7.0%$28.11$33.21$38.97$45.46$52.75
8.0%$21.74$25.74$30.26$35.35$41.07
9.0%$17.37$20.62$24.30$28.43$33.07
10.0%$14.21$16.92$19.98$23.42$27.28
11.0%$11.82$14.12$16.71$19.63$22.91

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.43
Yahoo: $0.58

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$12.35
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.75%
Computed WACC: 5.75%
Cost of equity (Re)5.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.40%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.93%
Debt weight (D/V)18.07%

Results

Current Price$12.35
Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.6%
Historical Revenue Growth31.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$9.46M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$12.35
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.56M
Current: 96.9×
Default: $68.45M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.06
Current Price$12.35
Upside / Downside+5.7%
Implied EV$442.04M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.93B-$931.55M$68.45M$1.07B$2.07B
92.9x$82.32$47.37$12.42$-22.53$-57.48
94.9x$82.64$47.69$12.74$-22.21$-57.16
96.9x$82.96$48.01$13.06$-21.89$-56.84
98.9x$83.27$48.33$13.38$-21.57$-56.52
100.9x$83.59$48.64$13.69$-21.25$-56.20