KGC

KGC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.79)
DCF$333036.81+905137.3%
Graham Number$17.66-52.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.4%
DDM$2.88-92.2%
EV/EBITDA$36.89+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.41B
Rev: 42.9% / EPS: 237.9%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$333409.38
Current Price$36.79
Upside / Downside+906150.0%
Net Debt (used)-$1.00B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term229.9%233.9%237.9%241.9%245.9%
7.0%$495862.76$526657.16$558962.89$592834.90$628329.48
8.0%$376425.82$399801.84$424325.06$450037.22$476981.01
9.0%$295774.64$314141.34$333409.38$353611.54$374781.37
10.0%$238233.83$253026.66$268545.41$284816.49$301866.91
11.0%$195518.87$207658.69$220394.23$233747.13$247739.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.94
Yahoo: $7.15

Results

Graham Number$17.66
Current Price$36.79
Margin of Safety-52.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$36.79
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.4%
Historical Revenue Growth42.9%
Historical Earnings Growth237.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.41B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.14

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.88
Current Price$36.79
Upside / Downside-92.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.20B
Current: 10.3×
Default: -$1.00B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$36.89
Current Price$36.79
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$43.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.00B-$1.00B-$1.00B-$1.00B-$1.00B
6.3x$22.87$22.87$22.87$22.87$22.87
8.3x$29.88$29.88$29.88$29.88$29.88
10.3x$36.89$36.89$36.89$36.89$36.89
12.3x$43.89$43.89$43.89$43.89$43.89
14.3x$50.90$50.90$50.90$50.90$50.90