KGEI

KGEI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.01)
DCF$-18.90-571.3%
Graham Number$7.92+97.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$4.01-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$17.95M
Rev: 16.8% / EPS: -28.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-18.90
Current Price$4.01
Upside / Downside-571.3%
Net Debt (used)$43.42M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term8.8%12.8%16.8%20.8%24.8%
7.0%$-20.18$-23.72$-27.78$-32.42$-37.69
8.0%$-16.49$-19.30$-22.52$-26.20$-30.38
9.0%$-13.95$-16.25$-18.90$-21.92$-25.35
10.0%$-12.09$-14.04$-16.26$-18.80$-21.69
11.0%$-10.68$-12.35$-14.26$-16.44$-18.91

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.49
Yahoo: $5.69

Results

Graham Number$7.92
Current Price$4.01
Margin of Safety+97.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$4.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth16.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-28.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$17.95M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$4.01
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $41.61M
Current: 4.5×
Default: $43.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.01
Current Price$4.01
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$185.20M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.96B-$956.58M$43.42M$1.04B$2.04B
0.5x$55.87$27.59$-0.70$-28.98$-57.26
2.5x$58.22$29.94$1.66$-26.63$-54.91
4.5x$60.58$32.29$4.01$-24.27$-52.56
6.5x$62.93$34.65$6.36$-21.92$-50.20
8.5x$65.28$37.00$8.72$-19.57$-47.85