KGS

KGS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($56.86)
DCF$221.81+290.1%
Graham Number$16.28-71.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.6%
DDM$38.73-31.9%
EV/EBITDA$56.98+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $258.49M
Rev: 7.5% / EPS: 32.6%
Computed: 7.15%
Computed WACC: 7.15%
Cost of equity (Re)10.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.13%
Debt weight (D/V)34.87%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$346.17
Current Price$56.86
Upside / Downside+508.8%
Net Debt (used)$2.61B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term24.6%28.6%32.6%36.6%40.6%
7.0%$258.61$306.62$360.88$422.00$490.60
8.0%$198.09$235.76$278.33$326.25$380.03
9.0%$156.64$187.24$221.81$260.71$304.35
10.0%$126.60$152.09$180.87$213.24$249.54
11.0%$103.92$125.56$149.97$177.42$208.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.84
Yahoo: $14.02

Results

Graham Number$16.28
Current Price$56.86
Margin of Safety-71.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.15%
Computed WACC: 7.15%
Cost of equity (Re)10.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.13%
Debt weight (D/V)34.87%

Results

Current Price$56.86
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.6%
Historical Revenue Growth7.5%
Historical Earnings Growth32.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$258.49M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$38.73
Current Price$56.86
Upside / Downside-31.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $688.81M
Current: 10.9×
Default: $2.61B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$56.98
Current Price$56.86
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$7.50B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$608.28M$1.61B$2.61B$3.61B$4.61B
6.9x$48.17$36.51$24.86$13.20$1.54
8.9x$64.23$52.57$40.92$29.26$17.60
10.9x$80.29$68.63$56.98$45.32$33.66
12.9x$96.35$84.69$73.04$61.38$49.72
14.9x$112.41$100.75$89.10$77.44$65.78