KMT

KMT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($41.01)
DCF$1670.42+3973.2%
Graham Number$23.57-42.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.8%
DDM$16.48-59.8%
EV/EBITDA$41.57+1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $93.24M
Rev: 9.8% / EPS: 91.3%
Computed: 10.23%
Computed WACC: 10.23%
Cost of equity (Re)12.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.90%
Debt weight (D/V)17.10%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1302.32
Current Price$41.01
Upside / Downside+3075.6%
Net Debt (used)$515.08M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term83.3%87.3%91.3%95.3%99.3%
7.0%$2201.61$2452.34$2725.36$3022.14$3344.20
8.0%$1692.79$1885.54$2095.42$2323.56$2571.11
9.0%$1347.33$1500.73$1667.75$1849.29$2046.28
10.0%$1099.39$1224.55$1360.82$1508.93$1669.62
11.0%$914.15$1018.21$1131.51$1254.64$1388.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.43
Yahoo: $17.26

Results

Graham Number$23.57
Current Price$41.01
Margin of Safety-42.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.23%
Computed WACC: 10.23%
Cost of equity (Re)12.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.90%
Debt weight (D/V)17.10%

Results

Current Price$41.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.4%
Historical Revenue Growth9.8%
Historical Earnings Growth91.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$93.24M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.48
Current Price$41.01
Upside / Downside-59.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $318.76M
Current: 11.6×
Default: $515.08M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.57
Current Price$41.01
Upside / Downside+1.4%
Implied EV$3.68B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.48B-$484.92M$515.08M$1.52B$2.52B
7.6x$51.08$37.96$24.84$11.71$-1.41
9.6x$59.45$46.33$33.20$20.08$6.96
11.6x$67.82$54.69$41.57$28.45$15.32
13.6x$76.18$63.06$49.94$36.81$23.69
15.6x$84.55$71.43$58.30$45.18$32.06