KNSA

KNSA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.80)
DCF$935.18+1941.7%
Graham Number$8.68-81.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$77.96+70.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $97.89M
Rev: 65.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.79%
Computed WACC: 4.79%
Cost of equity (Re)4.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.73%
Debt weight (D/V)0.27%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3319.46
Current Price$45.80
Upside / Downside+7146.9%
Net Debt (used)-$404.58M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term57.0%61.0%65.0%69.0%73.0%
7.0%$1172.63$1327.23$1497.88$1685.83$1892.35
8.0%$911.44$1031.05$1163.08$1308.46$1468.19
9.0%$733.63$829.44$935.18$1051.60$1179.49
10.0%$605.64$684.32$771.14$866.72$971.71
11.0%$509.71$575.56$648.21$728.18$816.01

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.45
Yahoo: $7.44

Results

Graham Number$8.68
Current Price$45.80
Margin of Safety-81.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.79%
Computed WACC: 4.79%
Cost of equity (Re)4.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.73%
Debt weight (D/V)0.27%

Results

Current Price$45.80
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-10.7%
Historical Revenue Growth65.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$97.89M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$45.80
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $78.78M
Current: 39.6×
Default: -$404.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$77.96
Current Price$45.80
Upside / Downside+70.2%
Implied EV$3.12B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.40B-$1.40B-$404.58M$595.42M$1.60B
35.6x$115.27$93.12$70.98$48.84$26.69
37.6x$118.75$96.61$74.47$52.33$30.18
39.6x$122.24$100.10$77.96$55.81$33.67
41.6x$125.73$103.59$81.45$59.30$37.16
43.6x$129.22$107.08$84.93$62.79$40.65