KSS

KSS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($15.64)
DCF$48.98+213.2%
Graham Number$36.96+136.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -1.2%
DDM$10.30-34.1%
EV/EBITDA$16.37+4.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $692.25M
Rev: -3.6% / EPS: -64.7%
Computed: 2.50%
Computed WACC: 2.50%
Cost of equity (Re)12.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)20.51%
Debt weight (D/V)79.49%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$15.64
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$6.66B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$49.91$72.01$97.71$127.46$161.73
8.0%$30.47$48.26$68.91$92.79$120.26
9.0%$17.00$31.81$48.98$68.81$91.59
10.0%$7.11$19.74$34.37$51.24$70.60
11.0%$-0.46$10.51$23.21$37.82$54.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.73
Yahoo: $35.09

Results

Graham Number$36.96
Current Price$15.64
Margin of Safety+136.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.50%
Computed WACC: 2.50%
Cost of equity (Re)12.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)20.51%
Debt weight (D/V)79.49%

Results

Current Price$15.64
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-64.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$692.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.30
Current Price$15.64
Upside / Downside-34.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20B
Current: 7.1×
Default: $6.66B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.37
Current Price$15.64
Upside / Downside+4.7%
Implied EV$8.50B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.66B$4.66B$6.66B$8.66B$10.66B
3.1x$9.31$-8.51$-26.34$-44.17$-61.99
5.1x$30.67$12.84$-4.98$-22.81$-40.64
7.1x$52.03$34.20$16.37$-1.45$-19.28
9.1x$73.39$55.56$37.73$19.90$2.08
11.1x$94.74$76.91$59.09$41.26$23.43