KW

KW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.92)
DCF$-17.06-256.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.9%
DDM$9.89-9.5%
EV/EBITDA$16.94+55.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $112.34M
Rev: -5.7% / EPS: -6.8%
Computed: 2.43%
Computed WACC: 2.43%
Cost of equity (Re)9.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)25.03%
Debt weight (D/V)74.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$10.92
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$4.33B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-16.93$-14.02$-10.63$-6.71$-2.19
8.0%$-19.50$-17.15$-14.43$-11.28$-7.66
9.0%$-21.27$-19.32$-17.06$-14.44$-11.44
10.0%$-22.58$-20.91$-18.98$-16.76$-14.21
11.0%$-23.57$-22.13$-20.45$-18.53$-16.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.27
Yahoo: $5.41

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$10.92
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.43%
Computed WACC: 2.43%
Cost of equity (Re)9.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)25.03%
Debt weight (D/V)74.97%

Results

Current Price$10.92
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$112.34M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$10.92
Upside / Downside-9.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $229.70M
Current: 29.0×
Default: $4.33B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.94
Current Price$10.92
Upside / Downside+55.2%
Implied EV$6.67B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.33B$3.33B$4.33B$5.33B$6.33B
25.0x$24.77$17.53$10.29$3.05$-4.19
27.0x$28.10$20.86$13.62$6.38$-0.86
29.0x$31.42$24.18$16.94$9.70$2.46
31.0x$34.75$27.51$20.27$13.03$5.79
33.0x$38.08$30.84$23.60$16.36$9.11