KWR

KWR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($139.94)
DCF$970.00+593.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.7%
DDM$41.82-70.1%
EV/EBITDA$145.93+4.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $91.07M
Rev: 5.5% / EPS: 48.6%
Computed: 9.90%
Computed WACC: 9.90%
Cost of equity (Re)11.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.39 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.59%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.88%
Debt weight (D/V)27.12%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$812.00
Current Price$139.94
Upside / Downside+480.2%
Net Debt (used)$726.01M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term40.6%44.6%48.6%52.6%56.6%
7.0%$1178.66$1359.51$1561.32$1785.89$2035.08
8.0%$912.03$1052.79$1209.84$1384.55$1578.37
9.0%$730.06$843.49$970.00$1110.71$1266.79
10.0%$598.72$692.42$796.91$913.11$1041.96
11.0%$499.97$578.86$666.81$764.59$872.99

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.52
Yahoo: $79.22

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$139.94
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.90%
Computed WACC: 9.90%
Cost of equity (Re)11.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.39 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.59%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.88%
Debt weight (D/V)27.12%

Results

Current Price$139.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth19.3%
Historical Revenue Growth5.5%
Historical Earnings Growth48.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$91.07M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.03

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$41.82
Current Price$139.94
Upside / Downside-70.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $286.79M
Current: 11.4×
Default: $726.01M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$145.93
Current Price$139.94
Upside / Downside+4.3%
Implied EV$3.26B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.27B-$273.99M$726.01M$1.73B$2.73B
7.4x$195.12$137.45$79.78$22.11$-35.56
9.4x$228.19$170.52$112.85$55.18$-2.49
11.4x$261.27$203.60$145.93$88.26$30.59
13.4x$294.35$236.68$179.01$121.34$63.67
15.4x$327.43$269.76$212.09$154.42$96.75