LAKE

LAKE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.88)
DCF$-18.85-312.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$2.47-72.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$8.53M
Rev: 4.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.19%
Computed WACC: 8.19%
Cost of equity (Re)11.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.16%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.53%
Debt weight (D/V)37.47%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-21.05
Current Price$8.88
Upside / Downside-336.9%
Net Debt (used)$35.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-18.98$-22.09$-25.72$-29.91$-34.75
8.0%$-16.24$-18.74$-21.66$-25.02$-28.90
9.0%$-14.34$-16.42$-18.85$-21.64$-24.85
10.0%$-12.94$-14.72$-16.79$-19.16$-21.89
11.0%$-11.87$-13.42$-15.21$-17.27$-19.63

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-4.48
Yahoo: $13.72

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$8.88
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.19%
Computed WACC: 8.19%
Cost of equity (Re)11.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.16%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.53%
Debt weight (D/V)37.47%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$8.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth4.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$8.53M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.47
Current Price$8.88
Upside / Downside-72.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.39M
Current: -88.2×
Default: $35.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.93
Current Price$8.88
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$122.59M