LBRT

LBRT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.48)
DCF$-5.13-118.0%
Graham Number$16.03-43.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$7.00-75.4%
EV/EBITDA$28.09-1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$10.18M
Rev: 10.1% / EPS: -74.6%
Computed: 6.24%
Computed WACC: 6.24%
Cost of equity (Re)7.08%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.19%
Debt weight (D/V)11.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-6.31
Current Price$28.48
Upside / Downside-122.2%
Net Debt (used)$590.73M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.1%6.1%10.1%14.1%18.1%
7.0%$-5.19$-5.49$-5.84$-6.24$-6.70
8.0%$-4.90$-5.14$-5.42$-5.74$-6.11
9.0%$-4.70$-4.90$-5.13$-5.40$-5.70
10.0%$-4.56$-4.73$-4.92$-5.15$-5.40
11.0%$-4.45$-4.59$-4.76$-4.96$-5.18

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.89
Yahoo: $12.83

Results

Graham Number$16.03
Current Price$28.48
Margin of Safety-43.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.24%
Computed WACC: 6.24%
Cost of equity (Re)7.08%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.19%
Debt weight (D/V)11.81%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$28.48
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-74.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$10.18M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.34

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.00
Current Price$28.48
Upside / Downside-75.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $600.77M
Current: 8.6×
Default: $590.73M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$28.09
Current Price$28.48
Upside / Downside-1.4%
Implied EV$5.14B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.41B-$409.27M$590.73M$1.59B$2.59B
4.6x$25.60$19.43$13.26$7.09$0.92
6.6x$33.02$26.85$20.67$14.50$8.33
8.6x$40.43$34.26$28.09$21.92$15.75
10.6x$47.85$41.67$35.50$29.33$23.16
12.6x$55.26$49.09$42.92$36.75$30.58