LCII

LCII — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($135.60)
DCF$15682.40+11465.2%
Graham Number$97.87-27.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.9%
DDM$94.76-30.1%
EV/EBITDA$135.61+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $163.87M
Rev: 16.1% / EPS: 104.2%
Computed: 9.47%
Computed WACC: 9.47%
Cost of equity (Re)11.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.69%
Debt weight (D/V)27.31%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$14199.38
Current Price$135.60
Upside / Downside+10371.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.01B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term96.2%100.2%104.2%108.2%112.2%
7.0%$21084.54$23321.65$25744.55$28364.58$31193.54
8.0%$16174.66$17890.59$19748.97$21758.47$23928.15
9.0%$12844.40$14206.88$15682.40$17277.86$19000.42
10.0%$10456.74$11565.83$12766.90$14065.54$15467.60
11.0%$8674.84$9594.87$10591.14$11668.32$12831.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.57
Yahoo: $56.23

Results

Graham Number$97.87
Current Price$135.60
Margin of Safety-27.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.47%
Computed WACC: 9.47%
Cost of equity (Re)11.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.69%
Debt weight (D/V)27.31%

Results

Current Price$135.60
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.2%
Historical Revenue Growth16.1%
Historical Earnings Growth104.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$163.87M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$94.76
Current Price$135.60
Upside / Downside-30.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $401.15M
Current: 10.7×
Default: $1.01B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$135.61
Current Price$135.60
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$4.29B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.01B$1.01B$1.01B$1.01B$1.01B
6.7x$69.30$69.30$69.30$69.30$69.30
8.7x$102.46$102.46$102.46$102.46$102.46
10.7x$135.61$135.61$135.61$135.61$135.61
12.7x$168.77$168.77$168.77$168.77$168.77
14.7x$201.92$201.92$201.92$201.92$201.92