LGPS

LGPS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($0.75)
DCF$-5070.71-676194.5%
Graham Number$2.41+220.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$1.03+37.3%
EV/EBITDA$0.73-3.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$2.29B
Rev: -1.8% / EPS: 21.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5078.25
Current Price$0.75
Upside / Downside-677200.4%
Net Debt (used)$16.96B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.3%17.3%21.3%25.3%29.3%
7.0%$-5493.28$-6355.18$-7339.98$-8460.50$-9730.44
8.0%$-4538.78$-5220.68$-5999.25$-6884.54$-7887.31
9.0%$-3882.73$-4441.15$-5078.25$-5802.21$-6621.75
10.0%$-3405.43$-3874.19$-4408.61$-5015.48$-5702.05
11.0%$-3043.52$-3444.47$-3901.23$-4419.55$-5005.59

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.24
Yahoo: $1.07

Results

Graham Number$2.41
Current Price$0.75
Margin of Safety+220.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$0.75
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-1.8%
Historical Earnings Growth21.3%
Base FCF (TTM)-$2.29B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.05

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.03
Current Price$0.75
Upside / Downside+37.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.69B
Current: 10.0×
Default: $16.96B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.73
Current Price$0.75
Upside / Downside-3.1%
Implied EV$16.98B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$8.96B$12.96B$16.96B$20.96B$24.96B
6.0x$53.11$-116.18$-285.47$-454.76$-624.04
8.0x$196.20$26.92$-142.37$-311.66$-480.95
10.0x$339.30$170.01$0.73$-168.56$-337.85
12.0x$482.40$313.11$143.82$-25.46$-194.75
14.0x$625.50$456.21$286.92$117.64$-51.65