LII

LII — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($563.40)
DCF$111.26-80.3%
Graham Number$131.01-76.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 28.5%
DDM$107.12-81.0%
EV/EBITDA$563.41+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $319.44M
Rev: -11.2% / EPS: -17.9%
Computed: 10.21%
Computed WACC: 10.21%
Cost of equity (Re)10.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.14%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.78%
Debt weight (D/V)8.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$85.68
Current Price$563.40
Upside / Downside-84.8%
Net Debt (used)$1.74B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$112.64$145.51$183.74$228.00$278.97
8.0%$83.72$110.18$140.91$176.42$217.28
9.0%$63.68$85.71$111.26$140.75$174.63
10.0%$48.97$67.76$89.53$114.61$143.41
11.0%$37.71$54.04$72.92$94.65$119.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $22.82
Yahoo: $33.43

Results

Graham Number$131.01
Current Price$563.40
Margin of Safety-76.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.21%
Computed WACC: 10.21%
Cost of equity (Re)10.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.14%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.78%
Debt weight (D/V)8.22%

Results

Current Price$563.40
Implied Near-term FCF Growth32.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-17.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$319.44M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$107.12
Current Price$563.40
Upside / Downside-81.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.15B
Current: 18.5×
Default: $1.74B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$563.41
Current Price$563.40
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$21.34B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.74B$1.74B$1.74B$1.74B$1.74B
14.5x$430.68$430.68$430.68$430.68$430.68
16.5x$497.04$497.04$497.04$497.04$497.04
18.5x$563.41$563.41$563.41$563.41$563.41
20.5x$629.77$629.77$629.77$629.77$629.77
22.5x$696.13$696.13$696.13$696.13$696.13