LNC

LNC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($34.30)
DCF$458.26+1236.0%
Graham Number$82.75+141.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$37.08+8.1%
EV/EBITDA$39.49+15.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.80B
Rev: -3.1% / EPS: -60.7%
Computed: 6.94%
Computed WACC: 6.94%
Cost of equity (Re)11.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.68%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.04%
Debt weight (D/V)51.96%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$579.57
Current Price$34.30
Upside / Downside+1589.7%
Net Debt (used)-$38.01B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$460.48$513.17$574.46$645.40$727.11
8.0%$414.13$456.53$505.79$562.72$628.22
9.0%$382.00$417.31$458.26$505.54$559.86
10.0%$358.42$388.54$423.43$463.64$509.80
11.0%$340.36$366.53$396.80$431.64$471.59

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.83
Yahoo: $52.20

Results

Graham Number$82.75
Current Price$34.30
Margin of Safety+141.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.94%
Computed WACC: 6.94%
Cost of equity (Re)11.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.68%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.04%
Debt weight (D/V)51.96%

Results

Current Price$34.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-60.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.80B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.08
Current Price$34.30
Upside / Downside+8.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.21B
Current: -25.2×
Default: -$38.01B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$39.49
Current Price$34.30
Upside / Downside+15.1%
Implied EV-$30.50B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$58.01B-$48.01B-$38.01B-$28.01B-$18.01B
-29.2x$119.24$66.63$14.03$-38.58$-91.19
-27.2x$131.97$79.36$26.76$-25.85$-78.46
-25.2x$144.70$92.09$39.49$-13.12$-65.73
-23.2x$157.43$104.82$52.22$-0.39$-53.00
-21.2x$170.16$117.56$64.95$12.34$-40.26