LNG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($248.93)
DCF	$135123.80	+54181.8%
Graham Number	$122.51	-50.8%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 14.1%
DDM	$45.73	-81.6%
EV/EBITDA	$267.11	+7.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $2.65B

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 12.3% / EPS: 146.4%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 3.78%

Computed WACC: 3.78%

Cost of equity (Re)5.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.24 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)67.41%

Debt weight (D/V)32.59%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$991933.66

Current Price$248.93

Upside / Downside+398379.0%

Net Debt (used)$25.35B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	138.4%	142.4%	146.4%	150.4%	154.4%
7.0%	$190029.07	$206509.91	$224114.50	$242899.36	$262922.88
8.0%	$145031.15	$157608.59	$171043.46	$185378.90	$200659.45
9.0%	$114575.35	$124510.96	$135123.80	$146447.89	$158518.43
10.0%	$92791.12	$100837.22	$109431.63	$118601.91	$128376.54
11.0%	$76575.20	$83214.84	$90306.85	$97873.96	$105939.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $17.90

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $37.27

Results

Graham Number$122.51

Current Price$248.93

Margin of Safety-50.8%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 3.78%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 3.78%

Cost of equity (Re)5.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.24 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)67.41%

Debt weight (D/V)32.59%

Results

Current Price$248.93

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-10.3%

Historical Revenue Growth12.3%

Historical Earnings Growth146.4%

Base FCF (TTM)$2.65B

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $2.22

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$45.73

Current Price$248.93

Upside / Downside-81.6%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $10.49B

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 7.9×

Net Debt($B)Default: $25.35B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$267.11

Current Price$248.93

Upside / Downside+7.3%

Implied EV$82.84B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$13.35B	$19.35B	$25.35B	$31.35B	$37.35B
3.9x	$127.97	$100.09	$72.21	$44.34	$16.46
5.9x	$225.41	$197.54	$169.66	$141.78	$113.91
7.9x	$322.86	$294.98	$267.11	$239.23	$211.35
9.9x	$420.31	$392.43	$364.55	$336.68	$308.80
11.9x	$517.75	$489.88	$462.00	$434.13	$406.25

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