LOPE

LOPE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($162.11)
DCF$185.99+14.7%
Graham Number$70.03-56.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$160.13-1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $200.57M
Rev: 5.3% / EPS: 10.5%
Computed: 8.00%
Computed WACC: 8.00%
Cost of equity (Re)8.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.69%
Debt weight (D/V)2.31%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$221.15
Current Price$162.11
Upside / Downside+36.4%
Net Debt (used)-$192.76M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.5%6.5%10.5%14.5%18.5%
7.0%$193.37$229.70$271.69$319.99$375.31
8.0%$158.59$187.63$221.15$259.69$303.77
9.0%$134.56$158.58$186.29$218.09$254.45
10.0%$116.98$137.35$160.81$187.71$218.44
11.0%$103.58$121.17$141.40$164.59$191.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.72
Yahoo: $28.23

Results

Graham Number$70.03
Current Price$162.11
Margin of Safety-56.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.00%
Computed WACC: 8.00%
Cost of equity (Re)8.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.69%
Debt weight (D/V)2.31%

Results

Current Price$162.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.2%
Historical Revenue Growth5.3%
Historical Earnings Growth10.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$200.57M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$162.11
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $343.22M
Current: 12.1×
Default: -$192.76M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$160.13
Current Price$162.11
Upside / Downside-1.2%
Implied EV$4.15B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.19B-$1.19B-$192.76M$807.24M$1.81B
8.1x$183.23$146.39$109.55$72.71$35.87
10.1x$208.52$171.68$134.84$98.00$61.16
12.1x$233.81$196.97$160.13$123.29$86.45
14.1x$259.10$222.26$185.42$148.58$111.74
16.1x$284.39$247.55$210.71$173.87$137.03