LUCD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.45)
DCF	$-3.24	-323.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$25.54M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 3.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.58%

Computed WACC: 9.58%

Cost of equity (Re)10.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.11%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)88.65%

Debt weight (D/V)11.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-2.95

Current Price$1.45

Upside / Downside-303.7%

Net Debt (used)-$24.04M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-3.27	$-3.96	$-4.78	$-5.72	$-6.80
8.0%	$-2.65	$-3.21	$-3.87	$-4.62	$-5.49
9.0%	$-2.23	$-2.69	$-3.24	$-3.86	$-4.58
10.0%	$-1.92	$-2.31	$-2.78	$-3.31	$-3.92
11.0%	$-1.68	$-2.02	$-2.42	$-2.88	$-3.41

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.77

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-0.23

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.45

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.58%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.58%

Cost of equity (Re)10.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.11%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)88.65%

Debt weight (D/V)11.35%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.45

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth3.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$25.54M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.45

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$47.12M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -4.7×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$24.04M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.86

Current Price$1.45

Upside / Downside+28.6%

Implied EV$220.33M

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