LUCK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($8.44)
DCF	$-27.27	-423.1%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 28.6%
DDM	$4.74	-43.9%
EV/EBITDA	$16.33	+93.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $56.87M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 2.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 2.16%

Computed WACC: 2.16%

Cost of equity (Re)8.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)26.59%

Debt weight (D/V)73.41%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$8.44

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)$3.16B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-27.16	$-24.59	$-21.60	$-18.14	$-14.15
8.0%	$-29.43	$-27.36	$-24.95	$-22.17	$-18.98
9.0%	$-30.99	$-29.27	$-27.27	$-24.96	$-22.31
10.0%	$-32.15	$-30.68	$-28.97	$-27.01	$-24.76
11.0%	$-33.03	$-31.75	$-30.27	$-28.57	$-26.62

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.66

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-2.65

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$8.44

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 2.16%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 2.16%

Cost of equity (Re)8.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)26.59%

Debt weight (D/V)73.41%

Results

Current Price$8.44

Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%

Historical Revenue Growth2.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$56.87M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.23

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.74

Current Price$8.44

Upside / Downside-43.9%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $274.09M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 16.2×

Net Debt($B)Default: $3.16B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.33

Current Price$8.44

Upside / Downside+93.5%

Implied EV$4.45B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.16B	$2.16B	$3.16B	$4.16B	$5.16B
12.2x	$27.74	$15.11	$2.48	$-10.15	$-22.77
14.2x	$34.66	$22.03	$9.41	$-3.22	$-15.85
16.2x	$41.59	$28.96	$16.33	$3.70	$-8.93
18.2x	$48.51	$35.88	$23.25	$10.62	$-2.01
20.2x	$55.43	$42.80	$30.17	$17.55	$4.92

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