LUNR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($17.99)
DCF	$-0.72	-104.0%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$20.14M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -10.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.37%

Computed WACC: 10.37%

Cost of equity (Re)11.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.38 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)87.34%

Debt weight (D/V)12.66%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.29

Current Price$17.99

Upside / Downside-101.6%

Net Debt (used)-$250.73M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-0.74	$-1.25	$-1.84	$-2.52	$-3.31
8.0%	$-0.30	$-0.71	$-1.18	$-1.73	$-2.36
9.0%	$0.01	$-0.33	$-0.72	$-1.18	$-1.70
10.0%	$0.24	$-0.05	$-0.39	$-0.77	$-1.22
11.0%	$0.41	$0.16	$-0.13	$-0.47	$-0.85

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.46

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-3.43

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$17.99

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.37%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.37%

Cost of equity (Re)11.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.38 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)87.34%

Debt weight (D/V)12.66%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$17.99

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-10.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$20.14M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$17.99

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$64.80M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -39.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$250.73M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.64

Current Price$17.99

Upside / Downside+9.2%

Implied EV$2.54B

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