LXFR

LXFR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.93)
DCF$16.74+29.5%
Graham Number$10.71-17.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 1.0%
DDM$10.71-17.2%
EV/EBITDA$12.89-0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $27.95M
Rev: -12.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.42%
Computed WACC: 8.42%
Cost of equity (Re)9.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.01%
Debt weight (D/V)12.99%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$18.56
Current Price$12.93
Upside / Downside+43.6%
Net Debt (used)$43.30M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$16.90$20.65$25.00$30.05$35.86
8.0%$13.61$16.62$20.12$24.17$28.83
9.0%$11.32$13.83$16.74$20.10$23.97
10.0%$9.64$11.79$14.27$17.13$20.41
11.0%$8.36$10.22$12.37$14.85$17.69

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.60
Yahoo: $8.50

Results

Graham Number$10.71
Current Price$12.93
Margin of Safety-17.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.42%
Computed WACC: 8.42%
Cost of equity (Re)9.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.01%
Debt weight (D/V)12.99%

Results

Current Price$12.93
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-0.5%
Historical Revenue Growth-12.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$27.95M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.71
Current Price$12.93
Upside / Downside-17.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $46.20M
Current: 8.4×
Default: $43.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$12.89
Current Price$12.93
Upside / Downside-0.3%
Implied EV$387.76M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.96B-$956.70M$43.30M$1.04B$2.04B
4.4x$80.82$43.40$5.97$-31.45$-68.87
6.4x$84.28$46.86$9.43$-27.99$-65.41
8.4x$87.74$50.31$12.89$-24.53$-61.96
10.4x$91.19$53.77$16.35$-21.07$-58.50
12.4x$94.65$57.23$19.81$-17.62$-55.04