LXU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($11.94)
DCF	$-8.90	-174.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$11.92	-0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$6.13M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 22.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.85%

Computed WACC: 6.85%

Cost of equity (Re)7.79%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)6.62%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)63.33%

Debt weight (D/V)36.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-11.26

Current Price$11.94

Upside / Downside-194.3%

Net Debt (used)$348.91M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	14.3%	18.3%	22.3%	26.3%	30.3%
7.0%	$-9.31	$-10.11	$-11.02	$-12.06	$-13.23
8.0%	$-8.41	$-9.04	$-9.76	$-10.58	$-11.51
9.0%	$-7.80	$-8.31	$-8.90	$-9.57	$-10.33
10.0%	$-7.35	$-7.78	$-8.28	$-8.84	$-9.47
11.0%	$-7.01	$-7.38	$-7.80	$-8.28	$-8.82

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.01

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $7.25

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$11.94

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.85%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.85%

Cost of equity (Re)7.79%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)6.62%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)63.33%

Debt weight (D/V)36.67%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$11.94

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth22.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$6.13M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$11.94

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $145.64M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 8.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: $348.91M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.92

Current Price$11.94

Upside / Downside-0.1%

Implied EV$1.21B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.65B	-$651.09M	$348.91M	$1.35B	$2.35B
4.3x	$31.63	$17.73	$3.83	$-10.07	$-23.97
6.3x	$35.67	$21.77	$7.88	$-6.02	$-19.92
8.3x	$39.72	$25.82	$11.92	$-1.98	$-15.88
10.3x	$43.77	$29.87	$15.97	$2.07	$-11.83
12.3x	$47.82	$33.92	$20.02	$6.12	$-7.78

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