M

M — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.81)
DCF$41.25+119.3%
Graham Number$24.95+32.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -3.1%
DDM$15.86-15.7%
EV/EBITDA$18.81-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $897.88M
Rev: 0.2% / EPS: -60.0%
Computed: 8.41%
Computed WACC: 8.41%
Cost of equity (Re)12.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.48%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.82%
Debt weight (D/V)51.18%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$47.24
Current Price$18.81
Upside / Downside+151.1%
Net Debt (used)$4.80B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$41.76$53.85$67.92$84.20$102.95
8.0%$31.12$40.85$52.16$65.22$80.26
9.0%$23.74$31.85$41.25$52.10$64.57
10.0%$18.33$25.25$33.25$42.48$53.08
11.0%$14.19$20.20$27.14$35.14$44.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.70
Yahoo: $16.28

Results

Graham Number$24.95
Current Price$18.81
Margin of Safety+32.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.41%
Computed WACC: 8.41%
Cost of equity (Re)12.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.48%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.82%
Debt weight (D/V)51.18%

Results

Current Price$18.81
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.5%
Historical Revenue Growth0.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-60.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$897.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.77

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.86
Current Price$18.81
Upside / Downside-15.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.47B
Current: 6.7×
Default: $4.80B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$18.81
Current Price$18.81
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$9.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.80B$3.80B$4.80B$5.80B$6.80B
2.7x$4.20$0.44$-3.32$-7.08$-10.84
4.7x$15.27$11.50$7.74$3.98$0.22
6.7x$26.33$22.57$18.81$15.05$11.29
8.7x$37.40$33.63$29.87$26.11$22.35
10.7x$48.46$44.70$40.94$37.18$33.42