MAIN

MAIN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($57.62)
DCF$-26.96-146.8%
Graham Number$67.29+16.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$64.27+11.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 3.6% / EPS: -26.0%
Computed: 7.29%
Computed WACC: 7.29%
Cost of equity (Re)8.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.79 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.59%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.75%
Debt weight (D/V)32.25%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-26.96
Current Price$57.62
Upside / Downside-146.8%
Net Debt (used)$2.42B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96
8.0%$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96
9.0%$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96
10.0%$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96
11.0%$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96$-26.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.04
Yahoo: $33.32

Results

Graham Number$67.29
Current Price$57.62
Margin of Safety+16.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.29%
Computed WACC: 7.29%
Cost of equity (Re)8.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.79 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.59%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.75%
Debt weight (D/V)32.25%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$57.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth3.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-26.0%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$64.27
Current Price$57.62
Upside / Downside+11.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $2.42B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-26.96
Current Price$57.62
Upside / Downside-146.8%
Implied EV$0