MAR

MAR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($341.73)
DCF$47.37-86.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 27.7%
DDM$55.21-83.8%
EV/EBITDA$341.73-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.67B
Rev: 4.2% / EPS: 1.6%
Computed: 8.70%
Computed WACC: 8.70%
Cost of equity (Re)10.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.05%
Debt weight (D/V)15.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$52.80
Current Price$341.73
Upside / Downside-84.6%
Net Debt (used)$16.82B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$48.32$70.93$97.24$127.68$162.75
8.0%$28.43$46.62$67.76$92.20$120.31
9.0%$14.64$29.79$47.37$67.66$90.97
10.0%$4.52$17.45$32.42$49.68$69.49
11.0%$-3.23$8.00$20.99$35.94$53.09

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $9.50
Yahoo: $-14.18

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$341.73
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.70%
Computed WACC: 8.70%
Cost of equity (Re)10.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.05%
Debt weight (D/V)15.95%

Results

Current Price$341.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth26.7%
Historical Revenue Growth4.2%
Historical Earnings Growth1.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.67B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$55.21
Current Price$341.73
Upside / Downside-83.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.60B
Current: 23.4×
Default: $16.82B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$341.73
Current Price$341.73
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$107.38B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$8.82B$12.82B$16.82B$20.82B$24.82B
19.4x$302.53$287.43$272.34$257.24$242.15
21.4x$337.22$322.13$307.03$291.94$276.84
23.4x$371.92$356.82$341.73$326.63$311.54
25.4x$406.62$391.52$376.42$361.33$346.23
27.4x$441.31$426.22$411.12$396.03$380.93