MARA

MARA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.94)
DCF$805.89+8914.4%
Graham Number$28.07+214.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$8.99+0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $220.67M
Rev: 91.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 16.70%
Computed WACC: 16.70%
Cost of equity (Re)34.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 5.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.14%
Debt weight (D/V)51.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$234.41
Current Price$8.94
Upside / Downside+2522.1%
Net Debt (used)$2.82B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term83.7%87.7%91.7%95.7%99.7%
7.0%$1067.65$1189.44$1322.03$1466.15$1622.51
8.0%$819.83$913.45$1015.37$1126.14$1246.31
9.0%$651.59$726.09$807.19$895.32$990.93
10.0%$530.85$591.62$657.78$729.68$807.67
11.0%$440.64$491.17$546.17$605.93$670.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.57
Yahoo: $13.63

Results

Graham Number$28.07
Current Price$8.94
Margin of Safety+214.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 16.70%
Computed WACC: 16.70%
Cost of equity (Re)34.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 5.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.14%
Debt weight (D/V)51.86%

Results

Current Price$8.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth31.0%
Historical Revenue Growth91.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$220.67M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$8.94
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.13B
Current: 5.5×
Default: $2.82B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.99
Current Price$8.94
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$6.21B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$816.08M$1.82B$2.82B$3.82B$4.82B
1.5x$2.33$-0.31$-2.96$-5.60$-8.24
3.5x$8.30$5.66$3.01$0.37$-2.27
5.5x$14.27$11.63$8.99$6.34$3.70
7.5x$20.24$17.60$14.96$12.31$9.67
9.5x$26.22$23.57$20.93$18.28$15.64