MCHX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.46)
DCF	$0.50	-65.8%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 32.4%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $579,125

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -8.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 15.56%

Computed WACC: 15.56%

Cost of equity (Re)15.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.09 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.65%

Debt weight (D/V)1.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$0.37

Current Price$1.46

Upside / Downside-74.8%

Net Debt (used)-$9.44M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$0.50	$0.55	$0.62	$0.69	$0.77
8.0%	$0.46	$0.50	$0.55	$0.60	$0.67
9.0%	$0.42	$0.46	$0.50	$0.55	$0.60
10.0%	$0.40	$0.43	$0.46	$0.51	$0.55
11.0%	$0.38	$0.41	$0.44	$0.47	$0.51

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.11

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.73

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.46

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 15.56%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 15.56%

Cost of equity (Re)15.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.09 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.65%

Debt weight (D/V)1.35%

Results

Current Price$1.46

Implied Near-term FCF Growth51.2%

Historical Revenue Growth-8.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$579,125

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.46

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$2.18M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -25.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$9.44M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.63

Current Price$1.46

Upside / Downside+11.6%

Implied EV$54.49M

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