MCRI

MCRI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($96.86)
DCF$78436314.42+80978956.8%
Graham Number$60.72-37.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 1.7%
DDM$24.72-74.5%
EV/EBITDA$96.86+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $114.21M
Rev: 4.1% / EPS: 445.2%
Computed: 11.59%
Computed WACC: 11.59%
Cost of equity (Re)11.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.34 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.24%
Debt weight (D/V)0.76%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$45957781.32
Current Price$96.86
Upside / Downside+47447537.1%
Net Debt (used)-$83.17M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term437.2%441.2%445.2%449.2%453.2%
7.0%$123159191.56$127813163.74$132606777.12$137543150.82$142625450.06
8.0%$93104538.02$96622786.75$100246599.34$103978333.72$107820382.69
9.0%$72848141.76$75600929.97$78436314.42$81356140.04$84362279.00
10.0%$58426101.44$60633901.53$62907945.54$65249713.12$67660705.80
11.0%$47743882.44$49548017.19$51406283.91$53319891.71$55290067.59

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.43
Yahoo: $30.17

Results

Graham Number$60.72
Current Price$96.86
Margin of Safety-37.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.59%
Computed WACC: 11.59%
Cost of equity (Re)11.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.34 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.24%
Debt weight (D/V)0.76%

Results

Current Price$96.86
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.6%
Historical Revenue Growth4.1%
Historical Earnings Growth445.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$114.21M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$96.86
Upside / Downside-74.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $190.72M
Current: 8.6×
Default: -$83.17M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$96.86
Current Price$96.86
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$1.65B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.08B-$1.08B-$83.17M$916.83M$1.92B
4.6x$166.03$110.12$54.21$-1.70$-57.61
6.6x$187.36$131.45$75.54$19.63$-36.28
8.6x$208.68$152.77$96.86$40.95$-14.96
10.6x$230.01$174.10$118.19$62.28$6.37
12.6x$251.33$195.42$139.51$83.60$27.70