MCS

MCS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($16.84)
DCF$-2571576.94-15270746.9%
Graham Number$8.98-46.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$6.59-60.9%
EV/EBITDA$21.83+29.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.43M
Rev: 3.1% / EPS: 523.7%
Computed: 4.53%
Computed WACC: 4.53%
Cost of equity (Re)7.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.57 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.12%
Debt weight (D/V)38.88%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-11802774.67
Current Price$16.84
Upside / Downside-70087835.6%
Net Debt (used)$312.03M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term515.7%519.7%523.7%527.7%531.7%
7.0%$-4084446.31$-4218856.89$-4356782.95$-4498293.02$-4643456.49
8.0%$-3085520.22$-3187057.99$-3291251.46$-3398152.40$-3507813.21
9.0%$-2412486.09$-2491875.56$-2573341.44$-2656924.21$-2742664.84
10.0%$-1933479.77$-1997106.04$-2062396.43$-2129383.39$-2198099.75
11.0%$-1578826.54$-1630781.83$-1684096.00$-1738795.53$-1794907.24

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.24
Yahoo: $14.93

Results

Graham Number$8.98
Current Price$16.84
Margin of Safety-46.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.53%
Computed WACC: 4.53%
Cost of equity (Re)7.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.57 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.12%
Debt weight (D/V)38.88%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$16.84
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth3.1%
Historical Earnings Growth523.7%
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.43M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59
Current Price$16.84
Upside / Downside-60.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $90.04M
Current: 9.2×
Default: $312.03M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.83
Current Price$16.84
Upside / Downside+29.6%
Implied EV$830.02M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.69B-$687.97M$312.03M$1.31B$2.31B
5.2x$90.93$48.79$6.65$-35.49$-77.63
7.2x$98.52$56.38$14.24$-27.90$-70.04
9.2x$106.11$63.97$21.83$-20.31$-62.46
11.2x$113.70$71.56$29.42$-12.72$-54.87
13.2x$121.29$79.15$37.01$-5.13$-47.28