MCW

MCW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.12)
DCF$-7109.19-99948.2%
Graham Number$4.91-31.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$7.12+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$41.36M
Rev: 4.0% / EPS: 198.5%
Computed: 6.87%
Computed WACC: 6.87%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)56.92%
Debt weight (D/V)43.08%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-12358.30
Current Price$7.12
Upside / Downside-173671.6%
Net Debt (used)$1.74B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term190.5%194.5%198.5%202.5%206.5%
7.0%$-10378.45$-11112.32$-11887.15$-12704.63$-13566.51
8.0%$-7893.91$-8451.95$-9041.14$-9662.76$-10318.14
9.0%$-6214.91$-6654.13$-7117.88$-7607.14$-8122.98
10.0%$-5016.01$-5370.40$-5744.57$-6139.33$-6555.52
11.0%$-4125.21$-4416.57$-4724.18$-5048.72$-5390.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.31
Yahoo: $3.45

Results

Graham Number$4.91
Current Price$7.12
Margin of Safety-31.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.87%
Computed WACC: 6.87%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)56.92%
Debt weight (D/V)43.08%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$7.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth4.0%
Historical Earnings Growth198.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$41.36M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$7.12
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $303.27M
Current: 13.5×
Default: $1.74B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.12
Current Price$7.12
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$4.08B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.74B$1.74B$1.74B$1.74B$1.74B
9.5x$3.43$3.43$3.43$3.43$3.43
11.5x$5.27$5.27$5.27$5.27$5.27
13.5x$7.12$7.12$7.12$7.12$7.12
15.5x$8.97$8.97$8.97$8.97$8.97
17.5x$10.81$10.81$10.81$10.81$10.81