MD

MD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.57)
DCF$56.86+190.6%
Graham Number$21.60+10.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -5.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$19.11-2.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $190.33M
Rev: -1.7% / EPS: 11.4%
Computed: 6.23%
Computed WACC: 6.23%
Cost of equity (Re)8.58%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.59%
Debt weight (D/V)27.41%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$103.89
Current Price$19.57
Upside / Downside+430.9%
Net Debt (used)$134.89M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.4%7.4%11.4%15.4%19.4%
7.0%$59.46$71.29$84.96$100.67$118.64
8.0%$47.97$57.43$68.33$80.85$95.16
9.0%$40.05$47.86$56.86$67.19$78.98
10.0%$34.25$40.87$48.49$57.22$67.17
11.0%$29.84$35.55$42.11$49.63$58.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.94
Yahoo: $10.68

Results

Graham Number$21.60
Current Price$19.57
Margin of Safety+10.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.23%
Computed WACC: 6.23%
Cost of equity (Re)8.58%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.59%
Debt weight (D/V)27.41%

Results

Current Price$19.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-13.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.7%
Historical Earnings Growth11.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$190.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$19.57
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $252.91M
Current: 6.8×
Default: $134.89M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.11
Current Price$19.57
Upside / Downside-2.3%
Implied EV$1.72B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.87B-$865.11M$134.89M$1.13B$2.13B
2.8x$31.02$18.97$6.92$-5.12$-17.17
4.8x$37.12$25.07$13.02$0.97$-11.08
6.8x$43.21$31.16$19.11$7.07$-4.98
8.8x$49.30$37.26$25.21$13.16$1.11
10.8x$55.40$43.35$31.30$19.25$7.21