MDT

MDT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($98.10)
DCF$53.83-45.1%
Graham Number$55.45-43.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.3%
DDM$58.50-40.4%
EV/EBITDA$98.26+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.07B
Rev: 8.7% / EPS: -11.8%
Computed: 6.80%
Computed WACC: 6.80%
Cost of equity (Re)8.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.77%
Debt weight (D/V)18.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$90.91
Current Price$98.10
Upside / Downside-7.3%
Net Debt (used)$19.69B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.7%4.7%8.7%12.7%16.7%
7.0%$55.74$69.77$86.02$104.74$126.23
8.0%$42.67$53.91$66.91$81.88$99.04
9.0%$33.63$42.95$53.72$66.10$80.27
10.0%$27.01$34.93$44.06$54.56$66.56
11.0%$21.96$28.81$36.70$45.76$56.11

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.58
Yahoo: $38.17

Results

Graham Number$55.45
Current Price$98.10
Margin of Safety-43.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.80%
Computed WACC: 6.80%
Cost of equity (Re)8.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.77%
Debt weight (D/V)18.23%

Results

Current Price$98.10
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.7%
Historical Revenue Growth8.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-11.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$4.07B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$58.50
Current Price$98.10
Upside / Downside-40.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.44B
Current: 15.4×
Default: $19.69B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$98.26
Current Price$98.10
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$145.85B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$9.69B$14.69B$19.69B$24.69B$29.69B
11.4x$76.64$72.75$68.85$64.96$61.06
13.4x$91.35$87.45$83.56$79.66$75.77
15.4x$106.05$102.16$98.26$94.37$90.48
17.4x$120.76$116.86$112.97$109.08$105.18
19.4x$135.46$131.57$127.67$123.78$119.89