MDV-PA

MDV-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.96)
DCF$-571403863.03-2289278397.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$37.90+51.9%
EV/EBITDA$296135350.00+1186439603.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$17.14M
Rev: 1.8% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-571403863.03
Current Price$24.96
Upside / Downside-2289278397.4%
Net Debt (used)$270.52M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-573988733.12$-635357675.68$-706753255.52$-789385647.51$-884559550.61
8.0%$-519989547.90$-569384169.32$-626761873.23$-693081250.02$-769375543.89
9.0%$-482570247.42$-523699272.25$-571403863.03$-626469552.62$-689742870.76
10.0%$-455100296.17$-490187983.45$-530825035.21$-577670993.44$-631436463.75
11.0%$-434069340.10$-464554103.81$-499808507.95$-540396517.60$-586925633.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.55
Yahoo: $16.06

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$24.96
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$24.96
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth1.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$17.14M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.90
Current Price$24.96
Upside / Downside+51.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $35.33M
Current: 16.0×
Default: $270.52M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$296135350.00
Current Price$24.96
Upside / Downside+1186439603.5%
Implied EV$566.65M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.73B-$729.48M$270.52M$1.27B$2.27B
12.0x$2154799350.00$1154799350.00$154799350.00$-845200650.00$-1845200650.00
14.0x$2225467350.00$1225467350.00$225467350.00$-774532650.00$-1774532650.00
16.0x$2296135350.00$1296135350.00$296135350.00$-703864650.00$-1703864650.00
18.0x$2366803350.00$1366803350.00$366803350.00$-633196650.00$-1633196650.00
20.0x$2437471350.00$1437471350.00$437471350.00$-562528650.00$-1562528650.00