MDXG

MDXG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.88)
DCF$823.04+16765.5%
Graham Number$3.24-33.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -6.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$4.90+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $63.34M
Rev: 27.1% / EPS: 99.5%
Computed: 12.70%
Computed WACC: 12.70%
Cost of equity (Re)13.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.98%
Debt weight (D/V)3.02%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$421.51
Current Price$4.88
Upside / Downside+8537.5%
Net Debt (used)-$143.59M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term91.5%95.5%99.5%103.5%107.5%
7.0%$1100.13$1219.45$1348.93$1489.20$1640.92
8.0%$845.40$936.99$1036.38$1144.04$1260.49
9.0%$672.57$745.35$824.32$909.86$1002.38
10.0%$548.61$607.90$672.23$741.92$817.28
11.0%$456.07$505.29$558.70$616.54$679.09

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.27
Yahoo: $1.73

Results

Graham Number$3.24
Current Price$4.88
Margin of Safety-33.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.70%
Computed WACC: 12.70%
Cost of equity (Re)13.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.98%
Debt weight (D/V)3.02%

Results

Current Price$4.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.3%
Historical Revenue Growth27.1%
Historical Earnings Growth99.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$63.34M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$4.88
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $78.77M
Current: 7.4×
Default: -$143.59M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.90
Current Price$4.88
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$581.39M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.14B-$1.14B-$143.59M$856.41M$1.86B
3.4x$16.27$9.52$2.77$-3.98$-10.74
5.4x$17.34$10.58$3.83$-2.92$-9.67
7.4x$18.40$11.65$4.90$-1.86$-8.61
9.4x$19.46$12.71$5.96$-0.79$-7.55
11.4x$20.53$13.77$7.02$0.27$-6.48