MELI

MELI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1777.00)
DCF$-7716.68-534.3%
Graham Number$343.72-80.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$1776.96-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$2.46B
Rev: 44.6% / EPS: -12.5%
Computed: 10.91%
Computed WACC: 10.91%
Cost of equity (Re)12.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.75%
Debt weight (D/V)11.25%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5535.89
Current Price$1777.00
Upside / Downside-411.5%
Net Debt (used)$5.11B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term36.6%40.6%44.6%48.6%52.6%
7.0%$-9181.21$-10564.77$-12113.36$-13841.37$-15764.02
8.0%$-7214.70$-8293.53$-9500.69$-10847.39$-12345.42
9.0%$-5871.65$-6742.50$-7716.68$-8803.17$-10011.47
10.0%$-4901.37$-5622.10$-6428.11$-7326.79$-8325.99
11.0%$-4171.25$-4779.13$-5458.72$-6216.24$-7058.26

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $39.45
Yahoo: $133.10

Results

Graham Number$343.72
Current Price$1777.00
Margin of Safety-80.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.91%
Computed WACC: 10.91%
Cost of equity (Re)12.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.75%
Debt weight (D/V)11.25%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1777.00
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth44.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-12.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$2.46B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1777.00
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.02B
Current: 23.7×
Default: $5.11B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1776.96
Current Price$1777.00
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$95.19B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.11B$4.11B$5.11B$6.11B$7.11B
19.7x$1499.31$1479.59$1459.86$1440.14$1420.41
21.7x$1657.86$1638.14$1618.41$1598.69$1578.96
23.7x$1816.41$1796.69$1776.96$1757.24$1737.51
25.7x$1974.96$1955.24$1935.51$1915.79$1896.06
27.7x$2133.51$2113.79$2094.06$2074.34$2054.61