MEOH

MEOH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($52.54)
DCF$41.98-20.1%
Graham Number$47.20-10.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.0%
DDM$15.24-71.0%
EV/EBITDA$56.43+7.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $367.28M
Rev: -0.8% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$41.98
Current Price$52.54
Upside / Downside-20.1%
Net Debt (used)$3.20B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$42.70$59.70$79.48$102.38$128.75
8.0%$27.73$41.42$57.32$75.70$96.84
9.0%$17.36$28.76$41.98$57.24$74.77
10.0%$9.75$19.48$30.74$43.72$58.61
11.0%$3.93$12.37$22.14$33.39$46.28

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.98
Yahoo: $33.23

Results

Graham Number$47.20
Current Price$52.54
Margin of Safety-10.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$52.54
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$367.28M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.74

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.24
Current Price$52.54
Upside / Downside-71.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $868.16M
Current: 8.7×
Default: $3.20B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$56.43
Current Price$52.54
Upside / Downside+7.4%
Implied EV$7.57B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.20B$2.20B$3.20B$4.20B$5.20B
4.7x$37.39$24.46$11.53$-1.40$-14.33
6.7x$59.84$46.91$33.98$21.05$8.12
8.7x$82.29$69.36$56.43$43.50$30.57
10.7x$104.75$91.82$78.89$65.96$53.03
12.7x$127.20$114.27$101.34$88.41$75.48