METCB

METCB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.97)
DCF$-85.45-813.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$14.63+22.2%
EV/EBITDA$73.05+510.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$51.84M
Rev: -25.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.25%
Computed WACC: 9.25%
Cost of equity (Re)11.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.53%
Debt weight (D/V)21.47%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-82.35
Current Price$11.97
Upside / Downside-788.0%
Net Debt (used)$29.68M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-86.16$-103.04$-122.67$-145.40$-171.58
8.0%$-71.31$-84.89$-100.67$-118.91$-139.90
9.0%$-61.02$-72.33$-85.45$-100.59$-118.00
10.0%$-53.46$-63.11$-74.29$-87.17$-101.96
11.0%$-47.68$-56.06$-65.76$-76.92$-89.72

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.68
Yahoo: $7.31

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$11.97
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.25%
Computed WACC: 9.25%
Cost of equity (Re)11.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.53%
Debt weight (D/V)21.47%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-25.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$51.84M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.71

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.63
Current Price$11.97
Upside / Downside+22.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.87M
Current: 60.1×
Default: $29.68M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$73.05
Current Price$11.97
Upside / Downside+510.3%
Implied EV$833.10M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.97B-$970.32M$29.68M$1.03B$2.03B
56.1x$249.85$158.93$68.00$-22.92$-113.84
58.1x$252.37$161.45$70.53$-20.39$-111.32
60.1x$254.89$163.97$73.05$-17.87$-108.79
62.1x$257.41$166.49$75.57$-15.35$-106.27
64.1x$259.93$169.01$78.09$-12.83$-103.75