MFA

MFA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.11)
DCF$-105.49-1143.4%
Graham Number$18.65+84.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$29.66+193.4%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 111.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 1.15%
Computed WACC: 1.15%
Cost of equity (Re)13.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.65 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)8.63%
Debt weight (D/V)91.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$10.11
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$10.78B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term103.3%107.3%111.3%115.3%119.3%
7.0%$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49
8.0%$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49
9.0%$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49
10.0%$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49
11.0%$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49$-105.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.86
Yahoo: $17.98

Results

Graham Number$18.65
Current Price$10.11
Margin of Safety+84.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 1.15%
Computed WACC: 1.15%
Cost of equity (Re)13.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.65 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)8.63%
Debt weight (D/V)91.37%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$10.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth111.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$10.11
Upside / Downside+193.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $10.78B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-105.49
Current Price$10.11
Upside / Downside-1143.4%
Implied EV$0