MFIN

MFIN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.43)
DCF$-94.33-1004.4%
Graham Number$26.92+158.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$9.89-5.2%
EV/EBITDA$14.37+37.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 17.9% / EPS: 16.4%
Computed: 0.78%
Computed WACC: 0.78%
Cost of equity (Re)8.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)9.20%
Debt weight (D/V)90.80%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$10.43
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$2.20B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term9.9%13.9%17.9%21.9%25.9%
7.0%$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33
8.0%$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33
9.0%$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33
10.0%$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33
11.0%$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33$-94.33

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.78
Yahoo: $18.09

Results

Graham Number$26.92
Current Price$10.43
Margin of Safety+158.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 0.78%
Computed WACC: 0.78%
Cost of equity (Re)8.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)9.20%
Debt weight (D/V)90.80%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$10.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth17.9%
Historical Earnings Growth16.4%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$10.43
Upside / Downside-5.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $182.27M
Current: 13.9×
Default: $2.20B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.37
Current Price$10.43
Upside / Downside+37.8%
Implied EV$2.53B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$198.98M$1.20B$2.20B$3.20B$4.20B
9.9x$68.89$26.00$-16.90$-59.80$-102.70
11.9x$84.53$41.63$-1.26$-44.16$-87.06
13.9x$100.17$57.27$14.37$-28.52$-71.42
15.9x$115.80$72.91$30.01$-12.89$-55.78
17.9x$131.44$88.54$45.65$2.75$-40.15