MG

MG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($15.27)
DCF$93.79+514.2%
Graham Number$9.61-37.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 70.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$15.28+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.34M
Rev: 7.0% / EPS: 105.0%
Computed: 5.38%
Computed WACC: 5.38%
Cost of equity (Re)8.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.06%
Debt weight (D/V)35.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$281.49
Current Price$15.27
Upside / Downside+1743.4%
Net Debt (used)$242.45M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term97.0%101.0%105.0%109.0%113.0%
7.0%$128.80$143.19$158.78$175.62$193.81
8.0%$97.07$108.10$120.06$132.97$146.92
9.0%$75.54$84.31$93.79$104.05$115.12
10.0%$60.11$67.24$74.97$83.31$92.32
11.0%$48.60$54.51$60.92$67.84$75.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.57
Yahoo: $7.21

Results

Graham Number$9.61
Current Price$15.27
Margin of Safety-37.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.38%
Computed WACC: 5.38%
Cost of equity (Re)8.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.06%
Debt weight (D/V)35.94%

Results

Current Price$15.27
Implied Near-term FCF Growth49.6%
Historical Revenue Growth7.0%
Historical Earnings Growth105.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.34M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$15.27
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $73.90M
Current: 9.8×
Default: $242.45M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.28
Current Price$15.27
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$724.59M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.76B-$757.55M$242.45M$1.24B$2.24B
5.8x$69.31$37.61$5.91$-25.78$-57.48
7.8x$73.99$42.30$10.60$-21.10$-52.80
9.8x$78.68$46.98$15.28$-16.41$-48.11
11.8x$83.36$51.67$19.97$-11.73$-43.43
13.8x$88.05$56.35$24.65$-7.05$-38.74