MGA

MGA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($63.19)
DCF$64.13+1.5%
Graham Number$54.21-14.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.8%
DDM$40.79-35.5%
EV/EBITDA$65.03+2.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.31B
Rev: 2.1% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$64.13
Current Price$63.19
Upside / Downside+1.5%
Net Debt (used)$5.08B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$64.84$81.61$101.13$123.72$149.73
8.0%$50.08$63.58$79.26$97.39$118.25
9.0%$39.85$51.09$64.13$79.18$96.48
10.0%$32.34$41.93$53.04$65.84$80.54
11.0%$26.59$34.92$44.56$55.66$68.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.93
Yahoo: $44.58

Results

Graham Number$54.21
Current Price$63.19
Margin of Safety-14.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$63.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.8%
Historical Revenue Growth2.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$1.31B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.98

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$40.79
Current Price$63.19
Upside / Downside-35.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.04B
Current: 5.8×
Default: $5.08B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$65.03
Current Price$63.19
Upside / Downside+2.9%
Implied EV$23.30B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.08B$4.08B$5.08B$6.08B$7.08B
1.8x$14.58$11.01$7.44$3.87$0.30
3.8x$43.37$39.81$36.24$32.67$29.10
5.8x$72.17$68.60$65.03$61.47$57.90
7.8x$100.97$97.40$93.83$90.26$86.69
9.8x$129.76$126.19$122.63$119.06$115.49