MGEE

MGEE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($80.78)
DCF$-88.79-209.9%
Graham Number$54.65-32.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$38.73-52.1%
EV/EBITDA$81.85+1.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$89.25M
Rev: 11.7% / EPS: 5.1%
Computed: 6.53%
Computed WACC: 6.53%
Cost of equity (Re)8.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.94%
Debt weight (D/V)24.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-131.12
Current Price$80.78
Upside / Downside-262.3%
Net Debt (used)$930.07M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.7%7.7%11.7%15.7%19.7%
7.0%$-91.82$-104.66$-119.48$-136.51$-155.99
8.0%$-79.31$-89.56$-101.38$-114.95$-130.45
9.0%$-70.68$-79.14$-88.90$-100.08$-112.85
10.0%$-64.36$-71.53$-79.78$-89.23$-100.02
11.0%$-59.55$-65.74$-72.85$-80.98$-90.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.72
Yahoo: $35.68

Results

Graham Number$54.65
Current Price$80.78
Margin of Safety-32.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.53%
Computed WACC: 6.53%
Cost of equity (Re)8.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.94%
Debt weight (D/V)24.06%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$80.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth11.7%
Historical Earnings Growth5.1%
Base FCF (TTM)-$89.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$38.73
Current Price$80.78
Upside / Downside-52.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $286.78M
Current: 13.7×
Default: $930.07M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$81.85
Current Price$80.78
Upside / Downside+1.3%
Implied EV$3.92B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.07B-$69.93M$930.07M$1.93B$2.93B
9.7x$105.18$77.83$50.48$23.13$-4.22
11.7x$120.86$93.51$66.16$38.81$11.47
13.7x$136.55$109.20$81.85$54.50$27.15
15.7x$152.24$124.89$97.54$70.19$42.84
17.7x$167.92$140.57$113.22$85.87$58.52