MGRC

MGRC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($107.26)
DCF$367.75+242.9%
Graham Number$81.68-23.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.6%
DDM$40.17-62.5%
EV/EBITDA$110.20+2.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $146.16M
Rev: 5.3% / EPS: 28.1%
Computed: 6.60%
Computed WACC: 6.60%
Cost of equity (Re)7.01%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.80%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.34%
Debt weight (D/V)16.66%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$646.20
Current Price$107.26
Upside / Downside+502.5%
Net Debt (used)$527.50M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term20.1%24.1%28.1%32.1%36.1%
7.0%$417.81$493.22$578.81$675.59$784.63
8.0%$327.31$386.66$453.99$530.09$615.79
9.0%$265.24$313.60$368.43$430.37$500.09
10.0%$220.20$260.60$306.37$358.05$416.19
11.0%$186.15$220.53$259.46$303.40$352.81

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.90
Yahoo: $50.26

Results

Graham Number$81.68
Current Price$107.26
Margin of Safety-23.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.60%
Computed WACC: 6.60%
Cost of equity (Re)7.01%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.80%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.34%
Debt weight (D/V)16.66%

Results

Current Price$107.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.0%
Historical Revenue Growth5.3%
Historical Earnings Growth28.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$146.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.95

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$40.17
Current Price$107.26
Upside / Downside-62.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $263.76M
Current: 12.3×
Default: $527.50M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$110.20
Current Price$107.26
Upside / Downside+2.7%
Implied EV$3.24B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.47B-$472.50M$527.50M$1.53B$2.53B
8.3x$148.60$107.96$67.33$26.70$-13.93
10.3x$170.03$129.40$88.77$48.14$7.50
12.3x$191.46$150.83$110.20$69.57$28.94
14.3x$212.90$172.26$131.63$91.00$50.37
16.3x$234.33$193.70$153.07$112.44$71.80