MGTX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($7.46)
DCF	$-14.18	-290.1%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$60.84M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -96.2% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 11.98%

Computed WACC: 11.98%

Cost of equity (Re)11.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.40 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)15.07%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)87.21%

Debt weight (D/V)12.79%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9.96

Current Price$7.46

Upside / Downside-233.6%

Net Debt (used)$73.22M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-14.29	$-17.00	$-20.15	$-23.80	$-27.99
8.0%	$-11.91	$-14.09	$-16.62	$-19.55	$-22.91
9.0%	$-10.26	$-12.08	$-14.18	$-16.61	$-19.40
10.0%	$-9.05	$-10.60	$-12.39	$-14.46	$-16.83
11.0%	$-8.12	$-9.47	$-11.02	$-12.81	$-14.87

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.11

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-0.50

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$7.46

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 11.98%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 11.98%

Cost of equity (Re)11.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.40 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)15.07%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)87.21%

Debt weight (D/V)12.79%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$7.46

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-96.2%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$60.84M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$7.46

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$151.43M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -4.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: $73.22M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.58

Current Price$7.46

Upside / Downside+1.6%

Implied EV$683.41M

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