MLKN

MLKN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.05)
DCF$5.04-74.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.1%
DDM$15.45-22.9%
EV/EBITDA$20.98+4.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $113.16M
Rev: -1.6% / EPS: -28.6%
Computed: 4.95%
Computed WACC: 4.95%
Cost of equity (Re)11.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.97%
Debt weight (D/V)57.03%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$53.76
Current Price$20.05
Upside / Downside+168.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.64B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$5.29$11.22$18.13$26.13$35.33
8.0%$0.06$4.84$10.39$16.81$24.19
9.0%$-3.56$0.42$5.04$10.36$16.49
10.0%$-6.21$-2.82$1.11$5.64$10.85
11.0%$-8.25$-5.30$-1.89$2.04$6.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.37
Yahoo: $19.04

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$20.05
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.95%
Computed WACC: 4.95%
Cost of equity (Re)11.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.97%
Debt weight (D/V)57.03%

Results

Current Price$20.05
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-3.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-28.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$113.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.75

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.45
Current Price$20.05
Upside / Downside-22.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $384.60M
Current: 8.0×
Default: $1.64B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$20.98
Current Price$20.05
Upside / Downside+4.6%
Implied EV$3.07B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.64B$1.64B$1.64B$1.64B$1.64B
4.0x$-1.56$-1.56$-1.56$-1.56$-1.56
6.0x$9.71$9.71$9.71$9.71$9.71
8.0x$20.98$20.98$20.98$20.98$20.98
10.0x$32.25$32.25$32.25$32.25$32.25
12.0x$43.52$43.52$43.52$43.52$43.52