MMM

MMM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($165.32)
DCF$32.14-80.6%
Graham Number$34.60-79.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 30.1%
DDM$64.27-61.1%
EV/EBITDA$165.40+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.26B
Rev: 2.0% / EPS: -19.9%
Computed: 9.67%
Computed WACC: 9.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.49%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.90%
Debt weight (D/V)13.10%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$28.17
Current Price$165.32
Upside / Downside-83.0%
Net Debt (used)$5.20B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$32.50$41.07$51.03$62.57$75.86
8.0%$24.96$31.85$39.87$49.12$59.78
9.0%$19.73$25.48$32.14$39.82$48.66
10.0%$15.90$20.80$26.47$33.01$40.52
11.0%$12.96$17.22$22.14$27.81$34.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.00
Yahoo: $8.87

Results

Graham Number$34.60
Current Price$165.32
Margin of Safety-79.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.67%
Computed WACC: 9.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.49%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.90%
Debt weight (D/V)13.10%

Results

Current Price$165.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth32.4%
Historical Revenue Growth2.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-19.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.26B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$64.27
Current Price$165.32
Upside / Downside-61.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.02B
Current: 15.3×
Default: $5.20B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$165.40
Current Price$165.32
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$92.32B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.20B$4.20B$5.20B$6.20B$7.20B
11.3x$123.51$121.61$119.71$117.81$115.92
13.3x$146.35$144.46$142.56$140.66$138.76
15.3x$169.20$167.30$165.40$163.50$161.60
17.3x$192.04$190.14$188.24$186.35$184.45
19.3x$214.89$212.99$211.09$209.19$207.29