MOD

MOD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($209.93)
DCF$-167.65-179.9%
Graham Number$29.58-85.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$210.09+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$109.58M
Rev: 30.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 13.05%
Computed WACC: 13.05%
Cost of equity (Re)13.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.58%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.63%
Debt weight (D/V)6.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-96.99
Current Price$209.93
Upside / Downside-146.2%
Net Debt (used)$654.40M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term22.5%26.5%30.5%34.5%38.5%
7.0%$-189.25$-219.08$-252.86$-290.98$-333.84
8.0%$-152.48$-175.92$-202.46$-232.38$-266.02
9.0%$-127.28$-146.35$-167.93$-192.25$-219.57
10.0%$-109.01$-124.92$-142.90$-163.16$-185.92
11.0%$-95.21$-108.72$-124.00$-141.20$-160.51

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.83
Yahoo: $21.25

Results

Graham Number$29.58
Current Price$209.93
Margin of Safety-85.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 13.05%
Computed WACC: 13.05%
Cost of equity (Re)13.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.58%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.63%
Debt weight (D/V)6.37%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$209.93
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth30.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$109.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$209.93
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $419.60M
Current: 28.0×
Default: $654.40M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$210.09
Current Price$209.93
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$11.73B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.35B-$345.60M$654.40M$1.65B$2.65B
24.0x$216.18$197.22$178.26$159.29$140.33
26.0x$232.10$213.13$194.17$175.21$156.24
28.0x$248.01$229.05$210.09$191.12$172.16
30.0x$263.93$244.96$226.00$207.04$188.07
32.0x$279.84$260.88$241.91$222.95$203.99