MOGU

MOGU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.41)
DCF$146.89+5995.0%
Graham Number$9.93+312.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $25.19M
Rev: 11.0% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$146.89
Current Price$2.41
Upside / Downside+5995.0%
Net Debt (used)-$424.28M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.0%7.0%11.0%15.0%19.0%
7.0%$150.58$168.33$188.84$212.42$239.40
8.0%$133.46$147.65$164.02$182.81$204.31
9.0%$121.64$133.37$146.89$162.40$180.12
10.0%$113.00$122.94$134.38$147.50$162.47
11.0%$106.41$114.99$124.85$136.15$149.03

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.44
Yahoo: $9.97

Results

Graham Number$9.93
Current Price$2.41
Margin of Safety+312.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$2.41
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth11.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$25.19M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$2.41
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$62.54M
Current: -88.5×
Default: -$424.28M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$831.93
Current Price$2.41
Upside / Downside+34419.8%
Implied EV$5.53B