MOV

MOV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.69)
DCF$3826.16+15396.8%
Graham Number$22.15-10.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -5.7%
DDM$28.84+16.8%
EV/EBITDA$35.01+41.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $30.54M
Rev: 3.1% / EPS: 100.0%
Computed: 8.06%
Computed WACC: 8.06%
Cost of equity (Re)9.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.59%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.81%
Debt weight (D/V)13.19%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4740.64
Current Price$24.69
Upside / Downside+19100.6%
Net Debt (used)-$101.24M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term92.0%96.0%100.0%104.0%108.0%
7.0%$5109.09$5661.54$6260.89$6910.06$7612.09
8.0%$3926.25$4350.29$4810.31$5308.54$5847.33
9.0%$3123.73$3460.66$3826.16$4222.00$4650.05
10.0%$2548.17$2822.63$3120.35$3442.78$3791.42
11.0%$2118.49$2346.32$2593.45$2861.08$3150.46

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.97
Yahoo: $22.47

Results

Graham Number$22.15
Current Price$24.69
Margin of Safety-10.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.06%
Computed WACC: 8.06%
Cost of equity (Re)9.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.59%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.81%
Debt weight (D/V)13.19%

Results

Current Price$24.69
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-7.9%
Historical Revenue Growth3.1%
Historical Earnings Growth100.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$30.54M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$24.69
Upside / Downside+16.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $34.67M
Current: 12.9×
Default: -$101.24M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$35.01
Current Price$24.69
Upside / Downside+41.8%
Implied EV$447.79M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.10B-$1.10B-$101.24M$898.76M$1.90B
8.9x$153.70$89.93$26.17$-37.60$-101.37
10.9x$158.12$94.35$30.59$-33.18$-96.94
12.9x$162.54$98.78$35.01$-28.76$-92.52
14.9x$166.96$103.20$39.43$-24.33$-88.10
16.9x$171.39$107.62$43.85$-19.91$-83.68